Tuesday, February 18, 2014

Cars, Homes and the Economy





I have always said that “As housing goes so goes the economy” and cars should have been added to this same phrase. Probably the last two products that we manufacture! 



Cars you buy today include all of the bells and whistles we may not want, we will probably never use, adds to the base price and maybe nice but not necessary. This is the same with new homes.

This illustration is self explanatory and the time span for this past recession is not complete. As our country is being transformed, we can no longer rely on historical comparisons to help guide us.

US share of the US Car Market:

1955                                       100%

1965                                       90%

1975                                       85%

1985                                       75%

1995                                       65%

2005                                       52%

2010                                       45%

Housing is always affected by national policies but not all local housing markets are affected the same way. The last entrepreneurial island called “housing” is still alive and thriving or is it? 

Managing the cost - price relationship has always been important but not so much during the “bubble”. Now, the importance of returning to basics will become the mantra for success in an ever changing regulatory environment.

If you had your choice, which new home or car would you buy?

                        A small home with all of the bells and whistles

                                                            OR

                        A home with space with limited features

                                                            OR

                        A larger home with all of the features and all the bells and whistles

Not a clear cut answer because of all the factors that influence our housing decisions. But for new homes builders, they have to make decisions well in advance of market shifts, interest rate changes and extenuating circumstances ....... i.e. government regulations.



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